飞行汽车也有里程焦虑

2019-11-14 10:41

假如所述整体规划真能顺利实现,保持科幻片中乘座四轴飞行器交通出行的情景好像已近在咫尺,但也许多人对于并不是看中。

在安全性和管控均有确保的状况下,传统式飞行汽车能在2020年展翅翱翔于天上,但颠覆性的飞行汽车或至2025年才变成实际。

最先是充电电池。Shanley告诉记者,假如发动机的充电电池沒有颠覆性的更改,那将自始至终遭遇2个难题,飞很近和易发烫。纯电动车的里程数焦虑情绪在飞行汽车上仍将续延,由于现阶段的充电电池动能不能够适配远距离航空,也有超温起火风险性。

五座全电动垂直起降(eVTOL)Lilium Jet

美国航空及国防安全机构L3Technologies顶尖技术工程师安德鲁·纳尔森(Andrew Nelson)也在采访中也表达,动力锂电池的诸多安全风险,会推迟eVTOLs规模性走向市场的時间。

另一个等候颠覆性的更改的要素,则是空中交通管理规章制度及系统软件。

在中国,广州市无人飞机及无人驾驶四轴飞行器生产商亿航智能化已得到了中国民航总局的无人飞机示范点适航准予。在国外,Uber与NASA签定了一项外太空法协议书,对将在低空飞行的无人驾驶汽车开展路政管理。但这并不等于飞行汽车能随便“上天”。

“eVTOLs是全新升级的定义,预估必须3-5年的時间进行合规管理验证和有关法律法规。”纳尔森表达,纯电动车四轴飞行器和无人驾驶技术在国外必须更长的检测及其更低的故障率,来确保其安全性。

瑞士银行2017年的调研数据显示,75%-80%的商业航空公司航空实际操作已所有由无人驾驶进行,但54%的受众不想要乘座自动驾驶飞机航班。

最少在20年前,将来城市公共交通的关键方式应当是自动驾驶的纯电动车的士,根据5G及V2X等交通出行基础设施建设更新改造,也可以保持零拥挤、零安全事故和零排放的目地。即便飞行汽车能在20今年年底产品化,也仅仅担负中等水平间距的高档交通出行。

飞行汽车的发展趋势还遭遇众多挑戰,但Shanley告知未来汽车日报(ID:auto-time),她坚信高新科技可以解决一切难点,“或许10年前倒回去看,电瓶车和无人驾驶车仅仅从小车到飞行汽车的短暂性衔接罢了。”

NASA航空公司科学研究联合会副署长杰万·辛(JaiwonShin)在无人飞机和航空公司将来的美国白宫讨论会上也表达:“美国国家航空航天局对VTOL(垂直起降四轴飞行器)的市场前景维持开朗。”

我国非常好的机遇,可以变成这一技术性的抢鲜者,“衣食住行有概率时,人们还要勤奋让它变成将会和实际”。

英文版


English version

If the overall plan can be achieved smoothly, it seems that the sci-fi film travels in a quad-axis aircraft is close at hand, but many people are not interested in it.

With safety and control in place, traditional flying cars can fly in the sky in 2020, but disruptive flying cars will not become practical until 2025.

The first is a rechargeable battery. Shanley told reporters that if there is no subversive change in the rechargeable battery of the diesel engine, it will encounter two problems from beginning to end, flying very close and easy to burn. The mileage anxiety of pure electric vehicles will continue to be extended in the flying car. Since the current kinetic energy of rechargeable batteries cannot adapt to long-distance aviation, there is also the risk of over-temperature fire.

Andrew Nelson, a top technical engineer at L3Technologies, a US aviation and defense security agency, also said in an interview that the many security risks of power lithium batteries will delay the time-to-market of eVTOLs.

Another element that awaits subversive changes is air traffic management regulations and system software.

In China, the intelligent unmanned aircraft and unmanned four-axle aircraft manufacturer in Guangzhou has received the airworthiness grant from the Civil Aviation Administration of China. In foreign countries, Uber and NASA signed an agreement on outer space law to carry out road management for unmanned vehicles that will fly at low altitudes. But this does not mean that the flying car can be casually "God".

“eVTOLs are a new upgrade definition, and it is estimated that 3-5 years of compliance management verification and related laws and regulations must be in place.” Nelson said that pure electric vehicle quadcopters and driverless technology must be longer abroad. The detection and its lower failure rate ensure its safety.

According to the survey data of Swiss Bank in 2017, 75%-80% of the commercial airlines' aviation operations have all been carried out by driverless, but 54% of the audience do not want to take the autopilot flights.

At least 20 years ago, the key way of urban public transportation in the future should be autonomous electric vehicle taxis. It can also maintain zero crowding, zero safety accidents and zero emissions according to the renovation of transportation infrastructure such as 5G and V2X. Purpose. Even if the flying car can be commercialized at the end of this year, it will only be responsible for high-end traffic with medium-level spacing.

The development trend of flying cars has also encountered many challenges, but Shanley told the future car (ID: auto-time), she firmly believes that high-tech can solve all difficulties, "maybe back 10 years ago, battery cars and driverless cars only from The short-term connection between the car and the flying car."

Jaiwon Shin, deputy director of the NASA Airline Scientific Research Association, also expressed at the future White House seminar of unmanned aircraft and airlines: "NASA's VTOL (Vertical Takeoff and Falling Quadcopter) The market outlook remains cheerful."

China's very good opportunity can become a technical predator. When there is a probability of clothing, food and shelter, people have to work diligently to make it become real and practical."

(图/文编译:飞行汽车 http://www.flycar.com.cn/


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